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Economic concerns and party loyalty are key factors shaping Iowa’s U.S. Senate matchup.

A Fox News statewide survey of Iowa likely voters finds Democrat Josh Turek with a two-point edge over Republican Ashley Hinson, 49% to 47%, well within the margin of error.

Among registered voters, Turek is ahead by 4 points, 50% to 46%. That also falls within the range of sampling error and has been unchanged since June.

The analysis below is based on likely voter results.

Democrats are more unified behind state representative Turek (96%) than Republicans are of current Congresswoman Hinson (87%). Independents favor Turek by two-to-one, and 10% of Republicans back him. It’s Iowa’s partisan structure that keeps the race tight, as more voters identify as Republicans than Democrats.

FOX NEWS POLL: MICHIGAN VOTERS SPLIT BETWEEN EL-SAYED AND ROGERS

Iowa voters are split on control of the Senate: 49% prefer Democratic control and 48% favor Republican. With those numbers nearly matching the Senate matchup, both candidates are performing close to their party’s ceiling.

Turek is preferred by 11 points among women, 16 points in the suburbs, 17 points among voters with a college degree, and 32 points among independents.

Hinson is up by 7 points among men, 6 points among those without a college degree, 14 points among rural voters, and 41 points among White evangelical Christians. 

Economic pressure influences the contest. In the 2024 Fox News Voter Analysis, 3 in 10 Iowans described their families as falling behind financially. That share has risen to 4 in 10 today, and they back Turek by a 38-point margin. Meanwhile, those holding steady (45%) and getting ahead (13%) favor Hinson (by 14 and 53 points respectively).

FOX NEWS POLL: VOTERS QUESTION WHETHER AI'S PROMISE OUTWEIGHS ITS RISKS

In addition, 6 in 10 say the cost of living will be extremely important to their Senate vote decision. That outpaces other top issues, like President Donald Trump (43% extremely), immigration (39% extremely), and AI technology (27% extremely).

Turek has the advantage among voters who say the cost of living, Trump, and AI technology are each extremely important to their vote, while voters prioritizing immigration favor Hinson.

Trump won Iowa with nearly 56% of the vote in 2024. Today, that’s how many Iowa voters disapprove of his job performance as president (57%), while far fewer, 42%, approve.

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The president’s ratings are only part of Hinson’s challenge. While 42% view her positively, 50% have an unfavorable view, including nearly 4 in 10 who are "strongly" unfavorable. In contrast, Turek’s ratings are net positive: 48% favorable to 40% unfavorable (24% "strongly" unfavorable).

By a 9-point margin, more voters are concerned Hinson is too close to Trump than are worried Turek’s views are too liberal (52% vs. 43%). Among those "extremely" concerned, that gap widens to 14 points: 36% say Hinson is too tied to Trump, while 22% say Turek is too liberal.

More of Turek’s backers are certain of their choice: 88% are committed to him compared to 77% for Hinson. Twice as many Hinson supporters say they might change their mind (20% vs. 10%). 

"Recent history and the state’s partisan makeup suggest Hinson can pull this out," says GOP pollster Daron Shaw, who works on the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. "But the warning signs are clear: Iowa Republicans seem ambivalent, independents prefer Turek, and even her supporters say they aren’t sure."

Iowa hasn't elected a Democrat to the Senate in 18 years (when Sen. Tom Harkin won his final term), and it's been 20 years since they elected a Democrat as governor.

In the Iowa governor’s contest, Democrat Rob Sand outperforms Republican Zach Lahn among likely voters by 53-44%. The race has been steady since June.

Sand’s lead comes not only from getting the support of nearly all Democrats (97%), but also 14% of Republicans and 66% of independents (vs. 16% of independents for Lahn). Plus, 11% of voters backing Hinson for Senate switched parties to support Sand for governor.

Conducted September 24-28, 2026, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,204 Iowa registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (183) and cellphones (733) or completed the survey online after receiving a text message (288). Results based on the registered voter sample have a margin of sampling error of ±2.5 percentage points and for the subsample of 1,008 likely voters it is ±3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Likely voters are based on a probabilistic statistical model that relies on past vote history, interest in the current election, intention to vote, age, education, race, ethnicity, and marital status. Results among subgroups are only shown when the sample size is at least N=100. 

Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.

Weeks before Election Day, Democratic engagement and positive ratings give Democrat James Talarico a razor-thin edge over Republican Ken Paxton in what is, so far, shaping up to be a photo finish for the Lone Star State’s U.S. Senate seat.

This analysis, released Thursday, is among Texas likely voters, unless otherwise noted.

Talarico enjoys a net positive personal rating of 8 points (52% favorable vs. 44% unfavorable), while Paxton’s is underwater by 18 points (40% vs. 58%). Republicans are six times more likely to view Paxton unfavorably (32%) than Democrats do Talarico (5%).

The GOP also has an enthusiasm gap. More MAGA than non-MAGA Republicans are extremely interested in the midterms (64% vs. 50%) and certain they will vote (76% vs. 65%). By contrast, two-thirds of DSA and non-DSA Democrats are extremely interested, and nearly three-quarters of both groups are certain they will vote.

FOX NEWS POLL: MICHIGAN VOTERS SPLIT BETWEEN EL-SAYED AND ROGERS

Overall, Texas likely voters split on control of the Senate: 49% prefer a Democratic Senate while 50% favor a Republican upper chamber. Eight percent of self-identified Republicans prefer the Democrats in power versus 1% of Democrats crossing over to pick the GOP.

All this gives Talarico a slim 2-point edge over Paxton (51-49%) in the first Fox News Poll among Texas likely voters (so no comparisons are available). These matchup results are within the margin of sampling error.

Among the larger sample of registered voters, Talarico’s advantage widens to 7 points (just outside the margin of error). That’s up from a 3-point edge in July.

GOP ambivalence is further reflected in Senate preferences because non-MAGA Republicans are more than five times more likely to back Talarico than their MAGA counterparts (22% to 4%). The crossover echoes lingering divisions from the competitive GOP primary and runoff: 20% of likely voters who backed Republican incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the March primary back Talarico.

FOX NEWS POLL: VOTERS QUESTION WHETHER AI'S PROMISE OUTWEIGHS ITS RISK

Fully 100% of DSA Democrats and 98% of non-DSA Democrats back Talarico, and slightly more of his backers are certain of their support (89%) than Paxton backers (85%).

In addition, Talarico also gets strong backing from Black voters (79%), moderates (65%), Hispanic voters (64%) and voters under age 35 (62%).

Paxton’s best groups are White evangelical Christians (74%), White men without a college degree (65%), rural voters (57%) and voters ages 65 and over (55%).

Both candidates face ideological concerns. Roughly equal numbers are concerned Talarico is too liberal on the issues (53% concerned) and Paxton is too close to President Trump (51%).

In 2024, President Donald Trump won Texas by nearly 14 percentage points. Today, his job rating is underwater by 11 points: 44% approve vs. 55% disapprove. Fifteen percent of those disapproving still back Paxton compared to 9% of Trump approvers backing Talarico.

Economic hardships continue to dominate the narrative. Seven in 10 Texans say the cost of living will be extremely important to their Senate vote, and this is another problem for the Republicans because twice as many voters say they are falling behind financially (35%) as getting ahead (16%). Those falling behind back Talarico by 32 points, while those getting ahead favor Paxton by 48 points. Those holding steady (48%), the largest group, narrowly back Paxton by 3 points.

Nearly half say Trump (48%) and immigration (47%) will be extremely important to their vote, while one-third say the same about artificial intelligence technology (34%).

Talarico holds wide leads among those saying the cost of living (Talarico +19), artificial intelligence (+18) and Trump (+6) will be extremely important to their Senate vote, while immigration-focused voters back Paxton (+20).

In the governor’s race, incumbent Republican Greg Abbott’s positive job ratings give him an edge over Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa. The three-time incumbent has a 52%-47% advantage over the Texas state House representative.

Over half, 52%, approve of the job Abbott is doing as governor, and that same share backs him in the race. Another 47% disapprove, the same number who back Hinojosa.

Abbott fares better than Paxton because he has slightly higher support among men, Republicans and moderates. Women are more evenly divided in the governor’s race.

Abbott also has a modest crossover advantage: 10% of Talarico supporters back Abbott for governor while just 3% of Paxton supporters do the same for Hinojosa.

"Democrats in Texas will walk across broken glass to vote against Trump, so the question is whether the average Republican will vote in an election without Trump and where the Senate race features a controversial GOP candidate," said Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts Fox News Polls with Democrat Chris Anderson. 

"Ironically, Paxton may owe his political life to Abbott, who is doing most of the get-out-the-vote work for the Republicans."

Conducted September 24-28, 2026, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,203 Texas registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (127) and cellphones (789) or completed the survey online after receiving a text message (287). Results based on the registered voter sample have a margin of sampling error of ±2.5 percentage points, and for the subsample of 881 likely voters it is ±3 percentage points. 

Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling errors, question wording and order can influence results. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis and voter file data. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Likely voters are based on a probabilistic statistical model that relies on past vote history, interest in the current election, intention to vote, age, education, race, ethnicity and marital status. Results among subgroups are only shown when the sample size is at least N=100. 

Wills and Estates: Making your cremation wishes known  Aldergrove Star

Wills and Estates: Making your cremation wishes known  Aldergrove Star

This story discusses suicide. If you or someone you know is having thoughts of suicide, please contact the National Suicide Prevention Lifeline at 988 or 1-800-273-TALK (8255).

Chad Lowe's 13-year-old daughter, Fiona, died at a Los Angeles hospital, according to new information from the medical examiner.

Fiona died Sept. 29, according to the County of Los Angeles Medical Examiner's office. As of Oct. 1, her cause of death had not been publicly disclosed.

"We are deeply heartbroken by the loss of our beloved Fiona," the family said in a statement provided to Page Six on Tuesday.

CHAD LOWE MOURNS DEATH OF 13-YEAR-OLD DAUGHTER FIONA, CALLING HER 'THE LIGHT OF OUR LIVES'

"She was a loving young girl who was smart, creative and loved to dance," the statement continued. "She was adored by her sisters and she was deeply loved by her parents. In fact, she was the light of our lives."

"Her passing is devastating for our entire family and we ask for prayers and privacy at this time."

The family concluded its statement by encouraging anyone struggling with mental health issues to contact the 988 Suicide & Crisis Lifeline by calling or texting 988.

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The family celebrated Fiona's 13th birthday in November 2025.

"Celebrating Fiona officially becoming a teen today!!" Lowe wrote alongside a photo of his daughter smiling and wearing cowboy boots. "Keep dancing through life FiBear! Love you soooo much!!"

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Fiona was the middle child of Lowe and his wife Kim Painter. The two have been together for nearly two decades, building a relatively private family life away from much of the Hollywood spotlight.

The couple married in 2010 and have two other daughters, Mabel and Nixie.

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Lowe, the younger brother of actor Rob Lowe, is an Emmy-winning actor and director best known for "Life Goes On," "Pretty Little Liars" and "9-1-1: Lone Star."

Painter is a producer and casting professional whose credits include "Enemy of the State," "Ted Bundy" and "Instant Dads."

Fox News Digital's Stephen Sorace contributed to this report.

Rhun ap Iorwerth will address members at Plaid's first conference since winning the Senedd election.

Protests halted events in Dublin twice before the Republic of Ireland were forced to settle for a 2-2 draw after Austria came back in the second half of their Nations League encounter at the Aviva Stadium.

Despite a significant security presence, the contest was twice interrupted in the opening 45 minutes, first due to what campaign group Stop the Game later referred to in a statement as a “limited tennis ball protest”, when – around the 20th minute – tennis balls wrapped in stickers featuring the Palestinian flag and the text “#StopTheGame” were launched on the pitch.

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Can you identify these people? Police seek tips in University of Guelph Homecoming investigation  CTV NewsSee more headlines & perspectives on Google News

1. Can you identify these people? Police seek tips in University of Guelph Homecoming investigation  CTV News
2. Guelph university’s wild homecoming party puts other schools on alert: 'Unlike anything that we've ever seen'  Toronto Star
3. Letter: Council candidate should not be attending Homecoming  Guelph News
4. Nipissing U president impressed with Homecoming behaviour  BayToday.ca
5. Guelph police seek help identifying people caught on videos of rowdy homecoming party  CHCH

TIME Magazine conducted an interview with President Trump recently where Mr. Trump said, "I don't think you could ever have peace" with Iran. CBS News' Weijia Jiang has more.

1. Flydubai co-pilot ‘assaulted’ captain before landing: Initial Saudi probe  Al Jazeera
2. Trump threatens to hit Iran 'very hard' if Tehran found to be behind FlyDubai incident  CBC
3. How the FlyDubai jet bound for Israel managed to pull out of its sudden plunge  The Globe and Mail
4. Co-pilot in flight stabbing had ‘Islamic radical indoctrination’, says Netanyahu  The Guardian
5. Canadian TV show 'Mayday' cited by passenger who thwarted Flydubai attack  ctvnews.ca

1. Flydubai co-pilot ‘assaulted’ captain before landing: Initial Saudi probe  Al Jazeera
2. Trump threatens to hit Iran 'very hard' if Tehran found to be behind FlyDubai incident  CBC
3. Canadian TV show 'Mayday' cited by passenger who thwarted Flydubai attack  CTV News
4. Co-pilot in flight stabbing had ‘Islamic radical indoctrination’, says Netanyahu  The Guardian
5. How the FlyDubai jet bound for Israel managed to pull out of its sudden plunge  The Globe and Mail

As Fury and Joshua confirm long-awaited boxing fight, Al Jazeera explains the delays and exchanges between the sides.

Saudi Arabia's Interior Ministry says pilots were returned to the UAE with an Emirati security team.

• Spurs star says he will ‘never’ promote betting

• Wembanyama says endorsements must reflect his values

• James, Durant and Antetokounmpo have gambling ties

Victor Wembanyama has ruled out ever endorsing a sports betting company, saying he was saddened to see fellow NBA players lend their names to gambling platforms.

The San Antonio Spurs star was unequivocal when asked after Thursday’s training camp workout if he would consider partnering with a sportsbook.

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The BBC's Noor Nanji on the gameshow's new twist and a traitor's shocking admission.

President Trump hit the campaign trail in Texas on Thursday, trying to rally voters for Republican candidates in the midterms. Major Garrett shares his thoughts on that and Mr. Trump's continued grievances with the media.

The judge denied a request from Lindsay Clancy's attorney to find her not guilty of murder in the 2023 deaths of her three children following her mistrial last month.

Vancouver band cancels Charlottetown show after venue denied transgender member washroom access  CBC

Vancouver band cancels Charlottetown show after venue denied transgender member washroom access  CBC